NHL Pick History

The side, line, and price recorded before puck drop, with each pick's result.

Forecast & backtest history

Record8-10-0wins / losses / pushes

Win rate44.4%

Net profit-4.06uFlat 1u per recommended pick

ROI-22.6%

Picks settled183 pending · 0 void

Average EV11.8%

Times shown in Eastern Daylight Time (EDT).

Recorded NHL decisions
Market / pick	Odds	EV	Result	Profit
Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs Thu, Oct 15 · 7:00 PM
Moneyline Buffalo Sabres ML FanDuel Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-15T16:15:00+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5253556123109535} EV 30.2% Win 63.5% · Push 0.0% Edge: 14.7 pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.734Z	+105	30.2%	pending	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators Thu, Oct 15 · 7:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5975698328319243} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":5.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings Thu, Oct 15 · 7:30 PM
Moneyline Philadelphia Flyers ML DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-15T16:00:39+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5582370348015977} EV 10.7% Win 50.3% · Push 0.0% Edge: 4.9 pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.650Z	+120	10.7%	pending	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":5.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning Thu, Oct 15 · 7:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.7006786468389005} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers Thu, Oct 15 · 7:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.7162055752477507} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils Thu, Oct 15 · 7:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5459044102759405} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Thu, Oct 15 · 8:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.457605893188907} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators Thu, Oct 15 · 8:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5559121836916772} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Thu, Oct 15 · 8:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5605070936929344} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":5.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers Thu, Oct 15 · 9:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5217253554889949} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights Thu, Oct 15 · 10:00 PM
Moneyline Vegas Golden Knights ML DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-15T16:00:39+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.727914814591913} EV 6.2% Win 80.3% · Push 0.0% Edge: 4.7 pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.650Z	-310	6.2%	pending	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"fd685282f746caf6855e7f41c3aa2ec17cd4323a3d1840266568c949dd12f7e6","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.739510Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"c298002cf1a27909691b75d695a95fc4384be79cc82fcc28ec18b6190ffee8dc","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:42.571735Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"ad91de7f227d37d4ab62321775d36a1490d356ae9744c1bbc5e02c0723105e8a","observed_at":"2026-10-15T16:15:41.574807Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T16:15:42.801Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals 4 - 5Wed, Oct 14 · 7:30 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-14T16:15:41.616Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ff943b240047bd1d0eb6d361a4f1fe0d3fd64a2c6d2a94d3ff371d7bae28bf85","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:41.555683Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"25f817a80767e72f54d8bce2da45f401ef1252a0eb68d3e9b3e6aeac55c3b8d2","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:41.130928Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"78ebaf1ab1b51fbb734978001d0ee1101de2c3703836a201af82765c99de9483","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:39.676494Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5364176191514323} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-15T16:15:31.724189+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-14T16:15:41.616Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-14T16:15:41.616Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ff943b240047bd1d0eb6d361a4f1fe0d3fd64a2c6d2a94d3ff371d7bae28bf85","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:41.555683Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"25f817a80767e72f54d8bce2da45f401ef1252a0eb68d3e9b3e6aeac55c3b8d2","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:41.130928Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"78ebaf1ab1b51fbb734978001d0ee1101de2c3703836a201af82765c99de9483","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:39.676494Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-15T16:15:31.724189+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-14T16:15:41.616Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2Wed, Oct 14 · 8:30 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-14T16:15:41.616Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ff943b240047bd1d0eb6d361a4f1fe0d3fd64a2c6d2a94d3ff371d7bae28bf85","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:41.555683Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"25f817a80767e72f54d8bce2da45f401ef1252a0eb68d3e9b3e6aeac55c3b8d2","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:41.130928Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"78ebaf1ab1b51fbb734978001d0ee1101de2c3703836a201af82765c99de9483","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:39.676494Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5605070936929344} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-15T16:15:31.724189+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-14T16:15:41.616Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total Under 6.5 FanDuel Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-14T16:15:41.616Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-14T16:15:00+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ff943b240047bd1d0eb6d361a4f1fe0d3fd64a2c6d2a94d3ff371d7bae28bf85","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:41.555683Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"25f817a80767e72f54d8bce2da45f401ef1252a0eb68d3e9b3e6aeac55c3b8d2","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:41.130928Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"78ebaf1ab1b51fbb734978001d0ee1101de2c3703836a201af82765c99de9483","observed_at":"2026-10-14T16:15:39.676494Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-15T16:15:31.724189+00:00 EV 10.3% Win 64.3% · Push 0.0% Edge: 6.0 pp Forecast: 2026-10-14T16:15:41.616Z Price captured: 2026-10-14T16:15:41.551Z	-140	10.3%	win	+0.71u
New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings 5 - 4Tue, Oct 13 · 6:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5054171180931745} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total Under 6.5 DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-13T16:00:38+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV 8.1% Win 62.1% · Push 0.0% Edge: 4.6 pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.201Z	-135	8.1%	loss	-1.00u
Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets 7 - 3Tue, Oct 13 · 6:15 PM
Moneyline Columbus Blue Jackets ML DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-13T16:00:38+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5435634425965807} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV 11.4% Win 63.0% · Push 0.0% Edge: 6.5 pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.201Z	-130	11.4%	loss	-1.00u
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":5.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens 3 - 4Tue, Oct 13 · 6:30 PM
Moneyline Buffalo Sabres ML DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-13T16:00:38+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5832985326247997} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV 21.2% Win 52.7% · Push 0.0% Edge: 9.2 pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.201Z	+130	21.2%	loss	-1.00u
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 4Tue, Oct 13 · 6:45 PM
Moneyline Carolina Hurricanes ML DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-13T16:00:38+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5855394130454834} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV 7.9% Win 65.6% · Push 0.0% Edge: 4.8 pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.201Z	-155	7.9%	win	+0.65u
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2Tue, Oct 13 · 7:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5239128578482511} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":5.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers 1 - 4Tue, Oct 13 · 7:15 PM
Moneyline New York Rangers ML DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-13T16:00:38+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.4115129108187916} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV 14.9% Win 48.7% · Push 0.0% Edge: 6.3 pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.201Z	+136	14.9%	win	+1.36u
Total Over 5.5 DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-13T16:00:38+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":5.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV -1.8% Win 56.4% · Push 0.0% Edge: -1.0 pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.201Z	-135	-1.8%	loss	-1.00u
St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators 7 - 2Tue, Oct 13 · 7:30 PM
Moneyline Ottawa Senators ML DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-13T16:00:38+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5140991809513096} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV 12.7% Win 60.3% · Push 0.0% Edge: 6.8 pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.201Z	-115	12.7%	loss	-1.00u
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":5.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders 2 - 3Tue, Oct 13 · 7:45 PM
Moneyline New York Islanders ML DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-13T16:00:38+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.6577974421576317} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV 8.1% Win 74.1% · Push 0.0% Edge: 5.6 pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.201Z	-218	8.1%	win	+0.46u
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5Tue, Oct 13 · 8:00 PM
Moneyline Pittsburgh Penguins ML FanDuel Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-13T16:15:00+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.41608108036709657} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV 14.4% Win 68.6% · Push 0.0% Edge: 8.6 pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.578Z	-150	14.4%	loss	-1.00u
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets 2 - 5Tue, Oct 13 · 8:15 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.5054171180931745} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars 3 - 2Tue, Oct 13 · 8:30 PM
Moneyline Colorado Avalanche ML DraftKings Earlier policy Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: 2026-10-13T16:00:38+00:00 Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.4885811359443637} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV 8.7% Win 58.1% · Push 0.0% Edge: 4.6 pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.201Z	-115	8.7%	win	+0.87u
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":5.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators 5 - 2Tue, Oct 13 · 8:45 PM
Moneyline No Play Below the 4.5-point edge threshold Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_home_probability":0.4656243528680887} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–
Total No Play Published total within half a goal of the line Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Rule: nhl-picks-v2 Missing inputs: 0. NHL counts flag a venue window under ten games. Model: nhl-poisson-v1.2 Provider updated: unavailable Source receipts: {"odds":{"sha256":"ed193316654dc562d613ab8a9eca910dcb381be09c05eb77d6dd5ef94ac0afb4","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:46.586014Z"},"schedule":{"sha256":"97d27927ebbef294a0114e3b767d3550eb65ee147cf6cd94f9d53f2a7c3fd82f","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:45.553230Z"},"moneypuck":{"sha256":"bed98f73ce7b6d671b78be11ad920efcff36c8290d98174e8579ef7430470912","observed_at":"2026-10-13T16:15:44.081287Z"}} Data flags: {"missing_input_count":0,"market_total_consensus":6.5} Settlement: confirmed final Result observed: 2026-10-14T16:15:28.740457+00:00 EV – Win – · Push – Edge: – pp Forecast: 2026-10-13T16:15:46.685Z Price captured: unavailable	–	–	No Play	–

98 recorded market decisions. 21 recommendations across 20 unique games. No Play decisions are shown for context and excluded from the pick record and ROI.

One recommended side per game and market. Prices and decisions are frozen when first published. Later forecasts do not rewrite a pick. A changed kickoff voids the original pick.

NHL picks v2 prices the published forecast, which blends the model halfway with the market. A moneyline is recommended when the published win probability beats the posted price's break-even probability by at least 4.5 percentage points with positive estimated EV; a total when the published total differs from the posted line by at least half a goal. A game without a two-sided price is No Play. Picks through October 9, 2026 (v1) used the model alone with the spreadsheet's thresholds of 13 percentage points and one goal. Prices come from the NHL's partner sportsbook feed (DraftKings and FanDuel), the better of the two, and must be dated within 24 hours of publication. Each pick risks 1 unit; the fractional Kelly stake the sheet computed is shown for reference only. A moved, postponed or cancelled game voids its pick; totals push on the line; there are no moneyline ties. Estimated EV does not establish a real betting advantage.

Recording began 2026-10-10 for this selection. Earlier forecasts remain in accuracy history and are not counted as past picks. View forecast history.