NHL Model Ratings
As of Oct 15, 2026
Updates every morning in season
Last updated:
Expected goals for and against per game come from each team's last 25 games at that venue, by situation. Attack and defense strengths are ratios to the league average at the venue (1.000 is average; a defense below 1.000 allows fewer goals). Rating is home attack plus away attack minus home defense minus away defense. The window column counts the home and away games behind the numbers.
WeakerStrongerEach column relative to all teams
| Rk | Team | Rating | Home xGF | Home xGA | Away xGF | Away xGA | Home Att | Home Def | Away Att | Away Def | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | +0.600 | 3.91 | 2.96 | 3.53 | 2.60 | 1.256 | 1.005 | 1.176 | 0.827 | 25/25 |
| 2 | Boston Bruins | +0.546 | 3.70 | 1.88 | 3.27 | 3.44 | 1.187 | 0.638 | 1.091 | 1.095 | 25/25 |
| 3 | Buffalo Sabres | +0.478 | 3.22 | 3.08 | 3.76 | 2.40 | 1.033 | 1.045 | 1.254 | 0.764 | 25/25 |
| 4 | Colorado Avalanche | +0.460 | 3.11 | 2.92 | 3.46 | 2.20 | 0.998 | 0.991 | 1.153 | 0.700 | 25/25 |
| 5 | Ottawa Senators | +0.431 | 3.34 | 2.40 | 3.27 | 2.88 | 1.073 | 0.815 | 1.089 | 0.916 | 25/25 |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Lightning | +0.419 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 3.58 | 3.20 | 1.124 | 0.882 | 1.195 | 1.018 | 25/25 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh Penguins | +0.404 | 3.63 | 3.04 | 3.79 | 3.12 | 1.165 | 1.032 | 1.264 | 0.993 | 25/25 |
| 8 | Edmonton Oilers | +0.392 | 3.22 | 3.04 | 3.92 | 2.88 | 1.035 | 1.032 | 1.306 | 0.916 | 25/25 |
| 9 | Utah Mammoth | +0.376 | 3.43 | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.64 | 1.102 | 1.018 | 1.132 | 0.840 | 25/25 |
| 10 | Vegas Golden Knights | +0.344 | 3.46 | 2.60 | 3.13 | 2.92 | 1.112 | 0.882 | 1.044 | 0.929 | 25/25 |
| 11 | Montréal Canadiens | +0.322 | 3.22 | 2.80 | 3.65 | 3.08 | 1.035 | 0.950 | 1.218 | 0.980 | 25/25 |
| 12 | Dallas Stars | +0.271 | 3.19 | 2.72 | 2.84 | 2.44 | 1.023 | 0.923 | 0.947 | 0.776 | 25/25 |
| 13 | St. Louis Blues | +0.265 | 2.96 | 2.36 | 3.02 | 2.80 | 0.951 | 0.801 | 1.005 | 0.891 | 25/25 |
| 14 | Minnesota Wild | +0.222 | 3.01 | 2.52 | 3.50 | 3.32 | 0.967 | 0.855 | 1.166 | 1.056 | 25/25 |
| 15 | New York Rangers | +0.181 | 3.51 | 2.40 | 2.96 | 3.52 | 1.128 | 0.815 | 0.988 | 1.120 | 25/25 |
| 16 | Washington Capitals | +0.153 | 3.53 | 2.40 | 2.83 | 3.48 | 1.133 | 0.815 | 0.942 | 1.107 | 25/25 |
| 17 | Columbus Blue Jackets | +0.016 | 3.33 | 2.92 | 2.53 | 2.84 | 1.068 | 0.991 | 0.843 | 0.904 | 25/25 |
| 18 | New York Islanders | -0.090 | 3.04 | 2.84 | 2.41 | 2.84 | 0.975 | 0.964 | 0.802 | 0.904 | 25/25 |
| 19 | Nashville Predators | -0.096 | 2.88 | 3.04 | 3.01 | 3.12 | 0.924 | 1.032 | 1.004 | 0.993 | 25/25 |
| 20 | Seattle Kraken | -0.155 | 3.28 | 3.12 | 2.64 | 3.24 | 1.055 | 1.059 | 0.880 | 1.031 | 25/25 |
| 21 | Anaheim Ducks | -0.215 | 3.19 | 3.52 | 3.00 | 3.28 | 1.025 | 1.195 | 0.999 | 1.044 | 25/25 |
| 22 | Winnipeg Jets | -0.224 | 2.92 | 3.04 | 2.58 | 3.12 | 0.939 | 1.032 | 0.862 | 0.993 | 25/25 |
| 23 | Florida Panthers | -0.233 | 2.87 | 2.84 | 2.86 | 3.60 | 0.923 | 0.964 | 0.954 | 1.146 | 25/25 |
| 24 | Detroit Red Wings | -0.256 | 2.79 | 3.24 | 2.55 | 2.84 | 0.897 | 1.100 | 0.850 | 0.904 | 25/25 |
| 25 | Philadelphia Flyers | -0.293 | 1.99 | 2.80 | 3.11 | 3.20 | 0.639 | 0.950 | 1.037 | 1.018 | 25/25 |
| 26 | New Jersey Devils | -0.342 | 2.81 | 3.12 | 2.54 | 3.24 | 0.902 | 1.059 | 0.847 | 1.031 | 25/25 |
| 27 | San Jose Sharks | -0.381 | 3.04 | 3.64 | 2.99 | 3.52 | 0.977 | 1.235 | 0.998 | 1.120 | 25/25 |
| 28 | Los Angeles Kings | -0.404 | 2.64 | 3.24 | 2.60 | 3.20 | 0.848 | 1.100 | 0.866 | 1.018 | 25/25 |
| 29 | Toronto Maple Leafs | -0.435 | 3.22 | 3.60 | 2.88 | 3.80 | 1.035 | 1.222 | 0.961 | 1.209 | 25/25 |
| 30 | Chicago Blackhawks | -0.747 | 2.66 | 3.52 | 2.02 | 3.40 | 0.854 | 1.195 | 0.675 | 1.082 | 25/25 |
| 31 | Calgary Flames | -0.863 | 2.53 | 3.24 | 2.01 | 3.92 | 0.813 | 1.100 | 0.671 | 1.247 | 25/25 |
| 32 | Vancouver Canucks | -1.145 | 2.50 | 3.84 | 2.34 | 4.48 | 0.803 | 1.303 | 0.782 | 1.426 | 25/25 |