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Power Ratings

2026 · Week 1

Updates when a new forecast is published
Last updated: 2d ago

A team's power rating is its expected scoring margin against an average opponent on a neutral field, split into offense and defense points per game. Ratings are model output, not a poll.

A preseason rating input is unavailable for every team here; treat these ratings as degraded.

All power ratings
RkTeamRatingOffDef
1Seattle Seahawks4.71.92.8
2New England Patriots3.41.51.9
3St. Louis Rams3.12.60.5
4Buffalo Bills2.51.70.8
5Jacksonville Jaguars2.01.10.9
6Houston Texans1.8-0.22.0
7Denver Broncos1.2-0.01.2
8Detroit Lions0.90.60.3
9Philadelphia Eagles0.9-0.41.2
10Baltimore Ravens0.80.80.0
11Minnesota Vikings0.7-0.91.6
12San Diego Chargers0.4-0.40.8
13Chicago Bears0.40.7-0.3
14Green Bay Packers0.30.9-0.6
15Atlanta Falcons0.2-0.30.4
16San Francisco 49ers0.10.9-0.8
17Indianapolis Colts0.10.2-0.1
18Kansas City Chiefs-0.0-0.30.2
19New Orleans Saints-0.1-0.90.8
20Pittsburgh Steelers-0.2-0.30.1
21New York Giants-0.3-0.1-0.2
22Cincinnati Bengals-0.50.2-0.8
23Cleveland Browns-0.9-1.70.8
24Tampa Bay Buccaneers-1.0-0.4-0.6
25Carolina Panthers-1.0-0.7-0.4
26Dallas Cowboys-1.20.7-1.9
27Miami Dolphins-1.5-0.5-1.0
28Washington Commanders-2.4-0.5-1.9
29Arizona Cardinals-2.7-0.7-2.0
30Tennessee Titans-2.9-1.2-1.7
31Oakland Raiders-3.5-2.4-1.1
32New York Jets-5.1-2.1-3.0

Off and Def are points per game above an average opponent; Rating is their sum. SD is the model's uncertainty about the rating.