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College Football Power Ratings

2026 · Week 7

Updates when a new forecast is published
Last updated:

Model and market-implied strength, in points above an average FBS team on a neutral field. Rankings follow the model. The published model ratings are the fitted ratings shifted so that this week's rating differences plus home field match the published lines. Tap a rating for its uncertainty and source.

25 of 25 teams · Search includes all D1 teams
Below avgAbove avg0 = average
Top 25 power ratings
RkTeamModelMarketOffDef
1Notre Dame16.414.3
2Ohio State15.314.6
3Alabama14.813.1
4Georgia15.012.4
5Miami15.610.2
6Texas10.614.2
7Indiana13.710.9
8LSU11.510.4
9Oregon11.39.8
10Utah10.78.8
11Ole Miss11.56.7
12Texas Tech7.69.9
13Tennessee7.98.8
14Florida10.46.3
15USC12.73.8
16Oklahoma3.812.4
17BYU8.08.2
18Missouri6.39.7
19Nebraska7.77.8
20Texas A&M6.19.1
21Iowa6.27.3
22Mississippi State8.25.0
23Louisville7.85.1
24Kentucky6.66.0
25South Carolina6.75.7

Where model and market disagree

Model rating minus market-implied strength from earlier closing spreads, in points on a neutral field. Follows the selected group and team search; this is a strength comparison, not a current game edge.

Largest 6 gaps of 25 paired entries · points

← Market rates higherModel rates higher →
  • Alabama (+6.6 points)

    Model 28.0 · Market 21.4

  • Kentucky (+5.0 points)

    Model 12.6 · Market 7.6

  • Utah (+4.9 points)

    Model 19.5 · Market 14.7

  • BYU (+4.3 points)

    Model 16.2 · Market 11.9

  • Georgia (+3.6 points)

    Model 27.4 · Market 23.8

  • Nebraska (+3.3 points)

    Model 15.5 · Market 12.2

0 = agreement · same scale for every row

Off and Def split the model rating into offense and defense. Market is fitted to earlier closing spreads with a prior-season market baseline; it does not include season win totals.