NFL Pick History

The side, line, and odds recorded before kickoff, with each pick's result.

Forecast & backtest history

Record1-3-0wins / losses / pushes

Win rate25.0%

Net profit-2.17uFlat 1u per recommended pick

ROI-54.2%

Picks settled40 pending · 0 void

Average EV14.8%

Times shown in Eastern Daylight Time (EDT).

Recorded NFL decisions
Market / pick	Odds	EV	Result	Profit
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos Thu, Oct 15 · 8:15 PM
Moneyline No Play missing source archive Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T10:01:04.624Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 0, away 0. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v8_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-15T10:01:02.733463+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"a6d72e8459f289c848c5676c6127536f712dbd0839eb4cbb2eff79e77d6bef03","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261015T100029275192Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:29.275192+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261015T100046966624Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.966624+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261015T100046966170Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.966170+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261015T100046967188Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.967188+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"6b643672c6a245692002193a32a2dd8b58bdf35c943f9c2e43d576ad37057402","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261015T100032491274Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:32.491274+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261015T100046966918Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.966918+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0034869","home_expected_qb":"00-0039732","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:32.491274+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:32.491274+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Chazz Surratt","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Drake Thomas","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Zach Charbonnet","status":"Out","position":"RB"},{"player":"Julian Neal","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"CB"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Pat Surtain II","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Talanoa Hufanga","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Pat Bryant","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"}]} EV -1.1% Win 57.5% · Push 1.0% Edge: -0.6 pp Forecast: 2026-10-15T10:00:47.616Z Price captured: 2026-10-15T10:01:02.733Z	–	–	No Play	–
Spread No Play missing source archive Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T10:01:04.624Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 0, away 0. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v8_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-15T10:01:02.733463+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"a6d72e8459f289c848c5676c6127536f712dbd0839eb4cbb2eff79e77d6bef03","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261015T100029275192Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:29.275192+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261015T100046966624Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.966624+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261015T100046966170Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.966170+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261015T100046967188Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.967188+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"6b643672c6a245692002193a32a2dd8b58bdf35c943f9c2e43d576ad37057402","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261015T100032491274Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:32.491274+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261015T100046966918Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.966918+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0034869","home_expected_qb":"00-0039732","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:32.491274+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:32.491274+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Chazz Surratt","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Drake Thomas","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Zach Charbonnet","status":"Out","position":"RB"},{"player":"Julian Neal","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"CB"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Pat Surtain II","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Talanoa Hufanga","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Pat Bryant","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"}]}
Total No Play missing source archive Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-15T10:01:04.624Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 0, away 0. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v8_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-15T10:01:02.733463+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"a6d72e8459f289c848c5676c6127536f712dbd0839eb4cbb2eff79e77d6bef03","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261015T100029275192Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:29.275192+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261015T100046966624Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.966624+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261015T100046966170Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.966170+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261015T100046967188Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.967188+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"6b643672c6a245692002193a32a2dd8b58bdf35c943f9c2e43d576ad37057402","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261015T100032491274Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:32.491274+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261015T100046966918Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:46.966918+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0034869","home_expected_qb":"00-0039732","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:32.491274+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-15T10:00:32.491274+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Chazz Surratt","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Drake Thomas","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Zach Charbonnet","status":"Out","position":"RB"},{"player":"Julian Neal","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"CB"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Pat Surtain II","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Talanoa Hufanga","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Pat Bryant","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"}]}
Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams 37 - 34Mon, Oct 12 · 8:15 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-12T15:19:55.827Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-12T15:19:53.645585+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"a75c021b139e8ebaf73de959200d89a36f3760c1960f80e76682d43a23cfa2ba","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261012T151914569275Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-12T15:19:14.569275+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261012T151936812833Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-12T15:19:36.812833+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261012T151936812219Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-12T15:19:36.812219+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261012T151936813912Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-12T15:19:36.813912+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"6b50ddcb885b7d08e283636ef014311a7e85896cc3c39561e9b90a74bbd20de1","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261012T151919542235Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-12T15:19:19.542235+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261012T151936813402Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-12T15:19:36.813402+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0034857","home_expected_qb":"00-0026498","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Ed Oliver","status":"Out","position":"DT"},{"player":"Joshua Palmer","status":"Out","position":"WR"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Myles Garrett","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"DE"},{"player":"Terrance Ferguson","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"TE"}]}
Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons 30 - 23Sun, Oct 11 · 8:20 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0035993","home_expected_qb":"00-0039917","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Cam Jurgens","status":"Out","position":"C"},{"player":"Trey Hendrickson","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Ja'Kobi Lane","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"},{"player":"Lamar Jackson","status":"Out","position":"QB"},{"player":"Durham Smythe","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"TE"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Yasir Abdullah","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"LB"},{"player":"Za'Darius Smith","status":"Out","position":"DE"}]}
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals 45 - 21Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0033106","home_expected_qb":"00-0033119","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Cade Mays","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"C"},{"player":"Ben Bartch","status":"Out","position":"G"},{"player":"Rock Ya-Sin","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Brian Branch","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Thomas Harper","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"S"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Isaiah Adams","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"G"},{"player":"Marvin Harrison Jr.","status":"Out","position":"WR"},{"player":"Andrew Wingard","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Paris Johnson Jr.","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"OT"},{"player":"Hunter Long","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"TE"}]}
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks 32 - 29Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0037834","home_expected_qb":"00-0034869","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"James Thompson Jr.","status":"Out","position":"DT"},{"player":"Nick Bosa","status":"Out","position":"DE"},{"player":"Marques Sigle","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Kyle Juszczyk","status":"Out","position":"FB"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Julian Neal","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"CB"},{"player":"Irv Charles","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"},{"player":"Chazz Surratt","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Zach Charbonnet","status":"Out","position":"RB"}]}
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers 23 - 17Sun, Oct 11 · 4:05 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0039732","home_expected_qb":"00-0036355","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Riley Moss","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Pat Surtain II","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Pat Bryant","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"},{"player":"Jonah Coleman","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"RB"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Trevor Penning","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"G"},{"player":"Trey Lance","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"QB"},{"player":"Rashawn Slater","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"OT"},{"player":"Kayode Awosika","status":"Out","position":"G"},{"player":"Joe Alt","status":"Out","position":"OT"},{"player":"Brenen Thompson","status":"Out","position":"WR"},{"player":"Derwin James Jr.","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Donte Jackson","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Quentin Johnston","status":"Out","position":"WR"}]}
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers 7 - 31Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 0. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0038416","home_expected_qb":"00-0036264","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"announced_starter","quote":"Bears head coach Ben Johnson said that Bagent will start Sunday's game against the Packers in Green Bay, Sean Hammond of the Chicago Tribune reports.","game_id":"2026_05_CHI_GB","gsis_id":"00-0038416","source_url":"https://www.espn.com/nfl/player/_/id/4434153/tyson-bagent","observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:32.883961+00:00","player_name":"Tyson Bagent","published_at":"2026-10-05T16:24:00+00:00","conditional_on":null},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Anthony Johnson Jr.","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Shemar Turner","status":"Out","position":"DT"},{"player":"Kyler Gordon","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Keyshaun Elliott","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Kyle Monangai","status":"Out","position":"RB"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Chris Brooks","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"RB"},{"player":"Jacob Monk","status":"Doubtful","position":"C"},{"player":"Aaron Banks","status":"Doubtful","position":"G"},{"player":"Savion Williams","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"},{"player":"Edgerrin Cooper","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"LB"},{"player":"Micah Parsons","status":"Out","position":"DE"}]}
Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins 31 - 24Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0036442","home_expected_qb":"00-0038128","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Kyle Dugger","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Jalen Davis","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"CB"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Storm Duck","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Robert Beal Jr.","status":"Out","position":"DE"},{"player":"Justin Joly","status":"Out","position":"TE"},{"player":"Caleb Douglas","status":"Out","position":"WR"},{"player":"Reese Taylor","status":"Out","position":"CB"}]}
Cleveland Browns at New York Jets 12 - 17Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0033537","home_expected_qb":"00-0030565","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Kalia Davis","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"DT"},{"player":"Teven Jenkins","status":"Out","position":"G"},{"player":"Dillon Gabriel","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"QB"},{"player":"Tylan Wallace","status":"Out","position":"WR"},{"player":"Carsen Ryan","status":"Out","position":"TE"},{"player":"Mike Hall Jr.","status":"Out","position":"DT"},{"player":"Mason Graham","status":"Out","position":"DT"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Dylan Parham","status":"Out","position":"G"},{"player":"Kiko Mauigoa","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Adonai Mitchell","status":"Out","position":"WR"},{"player":"Breece Hall","status":"Out","position":"RB"},{"player":"Braiden McGregor","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"DE"}]}
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans 26 - 3Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0039163","home_expected_qb":"00-0040676","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Braden Smith","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"OT"},{"player":"Tank Dell","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"},{"player":"Jaylin Smith","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"CB"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Joshua Williams","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"CB"},{"player":"Amani Hooker","status":"Out","position":"S"}]}
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers 22 - 34Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0035710","home_expected_qb":"00-0023459","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Arden Key","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"DE"},{"player":"Darius Slayton","status":"Out","position":"WR"},{"player":"Jaylon Carlies","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Will Mallory","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"TE"},{"player":"Ashton Dulin","status":"Out","position":"WR"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Michael Pittman Jr.","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"},{"player":"Jamel Dean","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"DeShon Elliott","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"S"},{"player":"Derrick Harmon","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"DT"}]}
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots 17 - 45Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0029604","home_expected_qb":"00-0039851","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Trey Zuhn III","status":"Out","position":"C"},{"player":"Dont'e Thornton Jr.","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"},{"player":"Jalen Nailor","status":"Out","position":"WR"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Reggie Gilliam","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"FB"},{"player":"Mack Hollins","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"},{"player":"Karon Prunty","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Channing Canada","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Christian Gonzalez","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Carlton Davis III","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"A.J. Brown","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"}]}
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints 23 - 13Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0035228","home_expected_qb":"00-0040743","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Charles Demmings","status":"Out","position":"CB"},{"player":"Christian Darrisaw","status":"Out","position":"OT"},{"player":"Donovan Jackson","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"G"},{"player":"Josh Oliver","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"TE"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Jeremiah Wright","status":"Out","position":"G"},{"player":"Anfernee Jennings","status":"Out","position":"LB"},{"player":"Kaden Elliss","status":"Out","position":"LB"}]}
New York Giants at Washington Commanders 27 - 27Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0031503","home_expected_qb":"00-0039910","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Chauncey Golston","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"DE"},{"player":"Jason Pinnock","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Braxton Berrios","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Trey Amos","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"CB"},{"player":"Jeremy McNichols","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"RB"},{"player":"Tyler Owens","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Charles Omenihu","status":"Out","position":"DE"},{"player":"Percy Butler","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Nick Cross","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Marcus Mariota","status":"Out","position":"QB"},{"player":"Stefon Diggs","status":"Out","position":"WR"},{"player":"Jaylin Lane","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"WR"}]}
Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars 17 - 19Sun, Oct 11 · 9:30 AM
Moneyline No Play Incomplete model inputs Recorded details Decision: 2026-10-11T10:01:19.508Z Rule: nfl-picks-v5 Missing inputs: home 1, away 1. NFL counts flag missing expected-QB identities. Model: nfl_joint_scoring_qb_v7_totals_v2 Bookmaker availability: verified Provider updated: 2026-10-11T10:01:17.364873+00:00 Source receipts: {"injuries":null,"schedule":{"sha256":"c22ad84b4ad68c8b7c506b8a8d2d82d3e575fecd0f6779e046f01b4af9b9f260","archive":"source_archive/07a2fc76ac263789/20261011T100030342592Z.source.parquet","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:30.342592+00:00"},"win_totals":{"sha256":"f501574c28cdde342ec868634ceab933cfb730657ddfc15b914291ad3b302561","archive":"source_archive/2509e78625f86020/20261011T100054534970Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534970+00:00"},"depth_charts":null,"qb_overrides":{"sha256":"75c5b1ee1f6b9c6f353ac817c7f9067b32489d4424d33bc7d0b89b8eeb4ed5f8","archive":"source_archive/d9d3c0f8056e67e6/20261011T100054534329Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.534329+00:00"},"preseason_qbs":{"sha256":"c36a4a848c20f741d2d7f319880b535ac9ed174c18c95de6e14ba3c62c17c5e5","archive":"source_archive/3f2066abf816aee5/20261011T100054536063Z.source.csv","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.536063+00:00"},"current_injuries":{"sha256":"87e3343e3149726c9e7d678327f4bb0a02da4db436456863463438b70601ccc8","archive":"source_archive/facf23a9dbef6dde/20261011T100036066181Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:36.066181+00:00"},"win_total_sources":{"sha256":"ecb86dce51e819ba042ca30e37eeb0472a2eac71e3d3551c352f756f09a082c7","archive":"source_archive/cf3324fac8bd4c61/20261011T100054535496Z.source.json","present":true,"observed_at":"2026-10-11T10:00:54.535496+00:00"}} Data flags: {"non_qb_injuries":"not modeled; no comprehensive injury clearance","away_expected_qb":"00-0036389","home_expected_qb":"00-0036971","away_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"away_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","home_qb_selection":{"basis":"depth_chart_fallback"},"home_qb_source_at":"2026-10-06T14:08:49+00:00","availability_basis":"announcements, injuries, overrides, depth-chart fallback","away_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","home_injury_coverage":"current_snapshot","away_reported_absences":[{"player":"Drew Kendall","status":"Out","position":"C"},{"player":"Marcus Epps","status":"Out","position":"S"},{"player":"Hollywood Brown","status":"Out","position":"WR"},{"player":"DeVonta Smith","status":"Out","position":"WR"},{"player":"Saquon Barkley","status":"Out","position":"RB"},{"player":"Tank Bigsby","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"RB"}],"home_reported_absences":[{"player":"Eric Murray","status":"Doubtful","position":"S"},{"player":"Caleb Ransaw","status":"Injured Reserve","position":"S"}]}

45 recorded market decisions. 4 recommendations across 4 unique games. No Play decisions are shown for context and excluded from the pick record and ROI.

One recommended side per game and market. Prices and decisions are frozen when first published. Later forecasts do not rewrite a pick. A changed kickoff voids the original pick.

NFL picks v5 requires the priced line to sit at least 2.0 points beyond the price's break-even line, plus positive estimated EV. Spreads are priced from the published blended margin, totals from the published total, and moneylines from the market margin moved 0.2 of the way toward the pure model, with fixed dispersions of 12.82 points for margins and 13.28 for totals. If fewer than 5 picks qualify in a week, the highest-edge positive-EV offers are promoted and recorded as volume-floor picks. Each pick risks 1 unit. Prices require an opposing quote, an exact kickoff, a verified game match, an explicitly configured available bookmaker, and an update within one hour. Schedule receipts must be within 24 hours, expected-QB depth charts within 48 hours, and the forecast within seven days. The underlying QB identity must also be dated within 48 hours. Missing source receipts or expected QBs block a pick. Non-QB injuries are not modeled and remain flagged; this is not comprehensive injury clearance. Confirmed cancellations, postponements, and changed kickoffs void the original contract. Unconfirmed missing games stay pending. Moneyline ties are void; spread and total pushes return the stake. Margin probabilities use discrete key-number margins and total probabilities use integer scores. Historical calibration is diagnostic, not a publication gate. Estimated EV does not establish a real betting advantage. There are no additional exposure caps.

Recording began 2026-10-06 for this selection. Earlier forecasts remain in accuracy history and are not counted as past picks. View forecast history.